19:42 Ayr
Christmas Parties At Western House Hotel Handicap (Class 4) (Turf)
Good 3YO+ 1m Winner: £5,234 (8 runners)
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NO./DRAW/FORM HORSE
AGE
WGT.
OR
RTG
ODDS
Odds courtesy of
3
1/5
3
1/5
3
1/5
3
1/5
3
1/5
187/100
2/1
15/8
187/100
15/8
7/2
7/2
15/4
7/2
10/3
4/1
4/1
4/1
4/1
4/1
5/1
5/1
5/1
5/1
5/1
9/1
9/1
17/2
9/1
9/1
16/1
16/1
16/1
16/1
16/1
16/1
18/1
14/1
16/1
14/1
40/1
50/1
40/1
40/1
40/1
8/1
8/1
8/1
8/1
15/2
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SP
SP
SP
SP
Best Odds are in bold. Best Book 111%
Non-Runners 2/10 On The River, Redarna
Shortening
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Race Hints
TF
Timeform
verdict
1st
On The River (NR)
NR
2nd
Boy Douglas
2/1
3rd
Epidavros
15/4
ON THE RIVER looked unlucky when hampered late on at Ripon with running left and remains well treated based on his Carlisle win. Boy Douglas brings strong course form with two consecutive Ayr wins and should appreciate returning to 1m in his hat-trick bid. Epidavros has been consistent and shaped better than the result last time.
Tipsters
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Source: newspaper tipsters
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TF
Smart Stats
6
Two B Tanned
£37.16 Julie Camacho's profit to a £1 level stake when having one runner at a flat meeting
9/1
9
Redarna
£80.94 Dianne Sayer's profit to a £1 level stake when having one runner at a flat meeting
SP
4
On The River
20% Harriet Bethell's strike rate with horses running in races between 7f and up to 10f
NR
TF
Race Hints
Specific Pace Hint: A strongly contested lead could count against Two B Tanned, who is expected to try and race close up: Such a hotly-contested pace as is on the cards here may be to the benefit of On The River who is likely to make a challenge late.
Individual Price Hint: Kelpie Grey has traded at 50% or less of Betfair SP 3 times on its last 5 starts.
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